In the 4th round of the UEFA Champions League group stage on November 5, 2025, Qarabag will take on Chelsea in Baku. The English club comes in as clear favorites, but Qarabag have shown many times that they are capable of surprising European giants — especially at home. Chelsea, under Maresca, are rebuilding strongly and aiming to re-establish themselves among Europe’s elite.

• Match Date: November 5, 2025
• Venue: Baku – Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
• Motivation: Qarabag aiming for another upset, Chelsea targeting top-spot dominance

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Team Form & Performance Overview

Qarabag continue to dominate Azerbaijani football and once again reached the UCL group stage by advancing through qualifiers, eliminating Shelbourne, Shkëndija and Ferencváros. They started strong with wins over Benfica and Copenhagen but suffered a setback with a 3-1 defeat against Athletic Bilbao.

Chelsea’s revival has accelerated under Maresca. After years of uncertainty following ownership changes, they finished 4th in the Premier League last season and lifted both the Conference League and the Club World Cup. However, the heavy schedule has caused some inconsistency. In Europe, they lost 3-1 to Bayern but recovered with wins over Benfica and Ajax.

• Qarabag: Strong defensive discipline + efficient counterattacks
• Chelsea: High technical quality + dangerous vertical transitions

Probable Lineups – Qarabag vs Chelsea

This match is expected to feature tactical discipline from Qarabag vs Chelsea’s fluid positional play.

Qarabag XI

• Kochalski – Goalkeeper
• Jafarguliyev, Medina, Mustafazade, Mateus – Defense
• Kadi, Bicalho, Zoubir, Andrade, Duran – Midfield
• Akhundzade – Striker

Key Qarabag Players:

• Zoubir
• Kadi
• Jafarguliyev

Chelsea XI

• Jorgensen – Goalkeeper
• Hato, Adarabioyo, Fofana, Caicedo – Defense
• Enzo Fernandez, Lavia, Buonanotte – Midfield
• Gittens, Guiu, Estevao – Attack

Key Chelsea Players:

• Enzo Fernandez
• Moises Caicedo
• Estevao
• Jamie Gittens

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Key Stats & Trends – Qarabag vs Chelsea

• Qarabag: 5 wins from 8 UCL matches this season (including qualifiers)
• Avg. goals scored: 1.63 | conceded: 0.38
• Chelsea: 2 consecutive UCL wins
• Avg. goals scored: 1.89 | conceded: 1.22

📌 Insight: Chelsea’s attack is more dynamic but Qarabag remain compact and resilient

Head-to-Head Record

• Last meetings: 2017
• Result: Chelsea won both matches — aggregate 10-0
• Note: Qarabag are now a more experienced and competitive side

Tactical Breakdown

• Qarabag: Low defensive block, rapid counters, set-piece threat
• Chelsea: Possession control, pacey wide threats, aggressive pressing lines
• Key Duel: Fernandez vs Bicalho — midfield tempo & ball distribution

Qarabag must exploit the space behind Chelsea’s backline to stay competitive.

Score Prediction

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📌 Chelsea are superior but Qarabag can still challenge them

• Expected Results: 3-1 Chelsea or 2-1 Chelsea
• Safe Option: Over 3.0 Total Goals ✅

Final Verdict

Qarabag are difficult to face at home, but Chelsea’s top-tier talent should secure the win. Expect an open match filled with transitions and scoring opportunities.

✅ Final Pick: Chelsea to Win